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South32 Expects Lower Full-Year Output

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South32, an Australia-based miner, announced on Monday that it anticipates a 3% decrease in full-year group output compared to its previous forecast. This revision is attributed to plant setbacks and power outages experienced by the company. However, South32 also provided positive news, stating that first-half operating costs are expected to be in line with or below annual estimates for most operations as a result of the company’s cost-cutting efforts.

The reduction in annual copper-equivalent production guidance for the period spanning June 2023 to June 2024 is mainly influenced by revised guidance for the Brazil Alumina and Mozal Aluminium operations, as well as weaker-than-expected molybdenum output from the Sierra Gorda mine.

Specifically, South32 has reduced its full-year production forecast for the Brazil Alumina business by 7% due to third-party power disruptions and maintenance. In addition, the company downgraded its molybdenum production estimate at the Sierra Gorda operation in Chile from 2,500 tons to approximately 800 tons. This adjustment is a result of an unplanned plant outage and low recoveries.

Furthermore, at Mozal Aluminium in Mozambique, South32 has lowered its output estimate by 12% as part of their efforts to improve process stability.

These developments highlight the challenges faced by South32 in achieving its production targets. Despite the setbacks, the company remains committed to implementing cost-cutting measures to optimize operations in order to mitigate future disruptions and improve overall performance.

Outlook for Costs and Market Prices: South32’s Positive Tone

South32, a mining company, is expecting improved market conditions and cost efficiencies to positively impact its financial outlook. The company is well-positioned to take advantage of these developments, with an expected production growth of 7% in the second half of the fiscal year 2024.

Cost Efficiencies and Lower Input Prices

South32 estimates that its first-half operating unit costs for the period ending December 31 will either be in line with or below the guidance for most of its operations. The company has already started to benefit from cost efficiencies and the decrease in raw-material input prices.

Stronger Market Conditions and Focus on Cost Management

According to Chief Executive Graham Kerr, as the market conditions continue to strengthen, South32’s planned 7% production growth and ongoing cost management focus will position the company to capture higher margins.

Reviewing Spending and Future Outlook

South32 has initiated a review to reduce spending in the current fiscal year and the next. The company plans to provide further details about this review alongside its upcoming first-half earnings result.

Increased Exposure to High-Demand Commodities

In addition to its efforts in cost management, South32 aims to increase its exposure to commodities that are expected to be in high demand during the energy transition. The company anticipates making a final investment decision for the Taylor zinc, lead, and silver deposit in its third fiscal quarter.

In conclusion, South32 is optimistic about the future, with a positive outlook on costs and market prices. The company’s focus on cost efficiencies, production growth, and strategic investments positions it well for capturing higher margins in a favorable market environment.

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